MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, October 25th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.
CHICAGO CUBS (110 - 61) at CLEVELAND (101 - 68 ) - 8:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JAKE ARRIETA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 8.69 and a WHIP of 1.932.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
COREY KLUBER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KLUBER is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 0.522.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
Have no idea why they have Arrieta listed but all the sites with this trend sheet are the same.
CHICAGO vs. CLEVELAND
Chi Cubs are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
StatFox Super Situations
CHICAGO CUBS at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts 104-64 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.9% | 42.5 units ) 10-8 this year. ( 55.6% | 2.2 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
CHICAGO CUBS at CLEVELAND
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-19 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in Road games when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: CHICAGO CUBS (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.4)
Chicago Cubs at Cleveland
Lester: CHICAGO CUBS are 7-15 SU after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more
Kluber: CLEVELAND is 7-1 SU after 3 straight games where they had 7 or less hits
MLB Knowledge
Lester is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts, 8-6, 2.50 in 17 postseason starts. Cubs won six of his last eight road starts.
Kluber is 5-1, 2.32 in his last seven starts, 2-1, 0.98 in three postseason starts. Indians are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts.
Cubs are 7-3 in playoffs this year, 3-2 on road; they didn’t play the Indians this season. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 7-1 in playoffs, 4-0 at home.
Maddon is 24-25 as a playoff manager, 11-8 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 35-19 as a postseason manager.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Chicago at Cleveland Indians
Cleveland will open their first World Series since 1997 with the ball in the hands of ace Corey Kluber. The right-hander is 20-10 overall including 2-1 with a 0.98 ERA in three post season starts. Tribe flourished in front of the home audience putting together a 53-28 record in regular season, 4-0 mark in post season. Kluber a big part of that success went 12-5 in 18 home starts with his team 13-5 over the span. Well to note, Kluber's 'W' in the ALCS home opener vs Toronto the Indians have won 12 of hurler's last 13 in front of the home audience.
The Cubs heading into their first World Series since 1945 are countering with Jon Lester carrying a 21-5 record in 35 assignments with a 27-8 team start record including 2-0 with a miniscule 0.86 ERA in three post season starts (3-0 TSR). Cubs were a successful crew in an opposing park this season going 49-36 in regular season, 3-2 during these second season games. Their ace hurler posted a 10-3 record away from Wrigley Field with Cubs 12-6 in his eighteen starts on the road.
Streak Notes
Cleveland : 10-1 overall, 7-1 opening a home series, 4-1 opening home series w/Kluber, 10-1 w/Kluber after a team win, 21-8 at home facing a portside hurler, 12-2 vs N.L. club
Cubs: 13-1 opening a series including 7-0 on the road, 4-1 opening a road series w/Lester, 13-0 w/Lester after a team win, 8-1 vs an A.L. team.
World Series Game 1 Betting Preview
By Covers.com
Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians (+102, 6.5)
One long-suffering fan base is guaranteed to be smiling by the end of the World Series while the other will go back to hanging its collective head and listing off curses. The Chicago Cubs try to start snapping a 108-year drought while extending the Indians' streak of World Series futility to 69 years when they visit Cleveland for Game 1 on Tuesday.
The Cubs already snapped one long drought just by reaching the World Series for the first time since 1945 when Kyle Hendricks and Aroldis Chapman finished off the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 6 of the National League Championship Series on Saturday. "Go out there and play the game freely, play the kind of game we're accustomed to playing, which would be we would want to pitch well, catch the ball on defense and work good at-bats," Cubs manager Joe Maddon told reporters of his team's approach. "So when you get to this particular moment, to try to avoid being outcome based, we try to do that all the time, just go out there, continue to work the process." The Indians, like the Cubs, made a move at the deadline to bring in an ace reliever and plucked Andrew Miller from the Yankees. The left-hander and ALCS MVP is proving his worth in the playoffs with 21 strikeouts and five hits allowed in 11 2/3 scoreless innings over six games - in each of which he recorded at least four outs.
WEATHER REPORT: The weather forcast for Game 1 of the 2016 World Series is calling for partly cloudy skies with chilly temperatures in the mid-40's at Progressive Field in Cleveland. There is a 10 percent chance of rain Tuesday but the real weather day to pay attention to will be for Wednesday's Game 2 with rain expected.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (2-0, 0.86 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-1, 0.98)
Chicago started Lester in each of its last two playoff series and was rewarded with dominant performances each time. The two-time World Series champion with the Boston Red Sox was the co-MVP of the NLCS along with second baseman Javier Baez after surrendering two runs in 13 innings in the series against the Dodgers. Lester, who got the nod over Jake Arrieta, owns a 2.50 ERA in 19 career postseason games (17 starts) and is 4-0 with a 3.72 ERA in eight career starts at Progressive Field in Cleveland.
Kluber allowed nine hits over 13 1/3 scoreless innings in his first two postseason starts but struggled to close out the ALCS in Game 4 at Toronto, when he was reached for two runs in five frames and absorbed the loss. The former Cy Young Award winner's 20 postseason strikeouts is one behind Miller for the most among pitchers still left in the postseason, though his seven walks are No. 1. Kluber did not walk a batter in his lone previous start against the Cubs and struck out 11 while allowing one run in 7 2/3 innings on Aug. 24, 2015.
TRENDS:
* Cubs are 10-1 in Lester's last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Indians are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
* Over is 7-1 in Cubs' last 8 road games.
* Under is 7-0 in Indians' last 7 playoff games.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The public is backing the home team Cleveland Indians in Game 1 at a rate of 57 percent. Over 6.5 is picking up 60 percent of the wager on the total.
Game 1 - Cubs at Indians
VegasInsider.com
Chicago Cubs (110-61, 49-36 away) vs. Cleveland Indians (101-68, 57-28 home)
Game 1 Odds: Cubs -115, Indians +105, Total 6½ (Over -120)
Series Odds: Cubs -220, Indians +185
How they got here
Chicago owned the best record in the regular season by winning 103 games, while posting a 7-3 mark in the playoffs. The Cubs took care of the Giants in four games of the National League Divisional Series thanks to a monster rally in the Game 4 clincher. Chicago captured its first pennant since 1945 by knocking out Los Angeles in six games of the NLCS as the Cubs won the final three contests after trailing, 2-1.
Cleveland took control of the American League Central in June thanks to a 14-game winning streak as the Indians cruised to a division title. The Tribe swept the Red Sox in the ALDS, while eliminating the Blue Jays in five games of the ALCS as Cleveland’s pitching held Toronto’s explosive offense to eight runs.
World Series history
It’s been a long time since both these squads have hoisted a World Series trophy as the Indians last won the title in 1948, while the Cubs’ championship drought has lasted since 1908. Cleveland came within one victory of a championship in 1997 against the Marlins, but lost on a walk-off hit in Game 7. Chicago has lost seven consecutive World Series, granted it was from 1910-1945 as the Cubs and Indians are meeting in the World Series for the first time ever.
Recent matchups
These teams played four times last season in interleague action as the Cubs and Indians split the four meetings. Both teams exchanged road shutouts as the Indians blanked the Cubs at Wrigley Field, 6-0, while Chicago returned the favor the next night in Cleveland with a 17-0 thumping of the Tribe. The first scheduled matchup was rained out in Chicago as the make-up game took place in late August and was the best contest of the four. Jon Lester and Corey Kluber went toe-to-toe nearly the whole way, but Kris Bryant was the hero with a walk-off home run to lift the Cubs to a 2-1 victory as a -130 home favorite.
Interleague records
Chicago: 15-5, 7-3 on road
Cleveland: 13-7, 7-3 at home
Game 1 starters
Chicago: Jon Lester (21-5, 2.29 ERA)
Overall Team Record: 27-8
Overall (O/U) Record: 15-18-2
Road Record: 10-3
Road Team Record: 12-6
Road O/U Record: 11-6-1
The Cubs own a perfect 3-0 record in Lester’s three playoff starts, including a win in his last outing over the Dodgers in Game 5 of the NLCS. Lester has yielded 14 hits and two earned runs in 21 innings of playoff baseball, while the southpaw has compiled a perfect 15-0 record and 1.91 ERA in night action. Lester has won all four starts against American League competition this season, while going unbeaten in his last five outings against Cleveland since 2012.
Cleveland: Corey Kluber (18-9, 3.14 ERA)
Overall Team Record: 20-12
Overall (O/U) Record: 16-14-2
Home Record: 10-5
Home Team Record: 11-5
Home O/U Record: 7-8-1
The 2014 Cy Young winner dominated the Red Sox in his first ever postseason start by tossing seven scoreless innings in a 6-0 shutout in Game 2 of the ALDS. Kluber shut down the Blue Jays in the series opener of the ALCS by scattering six hits in 6.1 scoreless innings of a 2-0 win, but lost to Toronto in Game 4 by a 5-1 count in spite of allowing four hits and two earned runs in five innings. In last season’s walk-off loss to the Cubs in late August, Kluber struck out 11 batters in 7.2 innings of work, while giving up four hits and one earned run. Kluber didn’t fare well against NL foes this season as the Indians went 1-2 in his three starts, which included a 6-0 home loss to the Mets in April.
All the odds for World Series Most Valuable Player can be found here, led by Cleveland's Andrew Miller and Chicago's Kris Bryant.
Game 1 Propositions
Total Runs+Hits+Errors
Over 23 (-115)
Under 23 (-115)
Team to Score First
Cubs -155
Indians +125
Cubs Total Runs
Over 3.5 (-115)
Under 3.5 (-115)
Indians Total Runs
Over 3 (-120)
Under 3 (-110)
Will there be a score in the 1st Inning?
Yes +150
No -185
Total Runs
Odd -165
Even +135
Will the game go to Extra Innings?
Yes +550
No -900
1st 5 Innings 3 Way Line
Cubs +125
Indians +125
Tie +375
Double Result (Game 1 Winner / Series Winner)
Cubs win Game 1 / Win Series +150
Indians win Game 1 / Win Series +210
Cubs win Game 1 / Lose Series +400
Indians win Game 1 / Lose Series +400
Cubs, Indians kick off World Series in Cleveland
By: Brad Kallet
StatFox.com
CHICAGO CUBS (103-58 ) at CLEVELAND INDIANS (94-67)
Line: Chicago -105, Cleveland -105, Total: 7.0
In one of the most highly-anticipated World Series in recent memory, the Cubs and the Indians kick off the 2016 Fall Classic in Cleveland.
It’s a dream World Series, and someone has to win it, as improbable as that may seem. In the coming days, one fan base will finally celebrate, and another’s misery will continue. The Cubs (103-58), who defeated the Giants in the NLDS and the Dodgers in the NLCS to get here, haven’t won it all since 1908, and are in the World Series for the first time since 1945. The Indians (94-67), who rolled past the Red Sox and the Blue Jays in the first two rounds, won their last title back in 1948. Because the American League won the All-Star Game, Game 1 is in Cleveland, and ace RHP Corey Kluber (18-9, 3.14 during the regular season) will get the start for manager Terry Francona. He’ll be opposed by Cubs LHP Jon Lester (19-5, 2.44 ERA during the regular season). In three starts this postseason (his first career playoff starts), Kluber is 2-1 with a 0.98 ERA (2 ER on 13 H in 18 1/3 IP). Lester has also been brilliant in three postseason starts, going 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA (2 ER on 14 H in 21 IP). The Cubs might get a boost from LF Kyle Schwarber (0-for-4 during the regular season), but Joe Maddon can’t expect much from him considering the slugger last played on April 7. Indians 2B Jason Kipnis (5-for-30, 2 HR, 4 RBI) sprained his ankle celebrating the Indians’ pennant, but he is expected to be ready for Game 1. The Cubs and Indians didn’t square off in the regular season.
C Willson Contreras (8-for-20, HR, 4 RBI) has been one of the unsung heroes for the Cubs, and IF Javier Baez (13-for-38, 4 2B, HR, 7 RBI) and 3B Kris Bryant (13-for-39, 5 2B, HR, 6 RBI) have led Chicago’s offense. Star 1B Anthony Rizzo (9-for-40, 2 2B, 2 HR, 5 RBI) and SS Addison Russell (7-for-37, 2B, 2 HR, 4 RBI) have each hit a pair of homers. The Cubs have seen very little of Kluber, and they haven’t had much success against him. 2B Ben Zobrist (6-for-36, 3 2B, 3 RBI) is 1-for-13 against him and CF Dexter Fowler (11-for-42, 4 2B, HR, 4 RBI) is 0-for-7 with five strikeouts. In 19 career postseason appearances (17 starts) over 119 IP, Lester is 8-6 with a 2.50 ERA.
SS Francisco Lindor (10-for-31, 2 2B, 2 HR, 4 RBI) might not be a household name, but he’s certainly turned plenty of heads this postseason. Kipnis, OF Coco Crisp (3-for-14, 2 HR, 3 RBI) and DH Carlos Santana (5-for-29, 2 HR, 2 RBI) have also homered twice this postseason, and Francona will need RF Lonnie Chisenhall (7-for-26, HR, 4 RBI) and 3B Jose Ramirez (6-for-27, 2B, RBI) to get hot. LF Rajai Davis (0-for-12, RBI) has hit Lester very well, going 14-for-46 with a homer, three doubles and three triples, and 1B Mike Napoli (5-for-28, 3 2B, HR, 2 RBI) has six hits in 10 at-bats—including two homers, a double and five RBIs—against his former batterymate. In one career start against the Cubs, last August, Kluber held Chicago to one earned run in 7 2/3 innings.