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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, September 27th, 2016

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(@blade)
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MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, September 27th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : September 27, 2016 7:56 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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National League

Diamondbacks @ Nationals
Koch is making first MLB start; he’s allowed one run in seven IP in five MLB relief stints. He was 6-6, 4.08 in 21 AAA starts this year.
Scherzer is 6-0, 2.36 in his last seven starts; three of his last four went over. Nationals are 8-5 in his home starts.

Arizona lost seven of last ten games; eight of last nine Arizona road games stayed under. Nationals are 8-3 in last 11 home games; under is 5-2 in Washington’s last seven home games.

Cubs @ Pirates
Lackey is 2-1, 2.72 in his last six starts; three of his last four road starts stayed under total. Cubs lost four of his last five road starts.
Vogelsong is 0-3, 9.14 in his last five starts (under 6-6). Pirates are 1-5 in his home starts.

Chicago won six of last seven games; under is 6-2 in last eight Cub road games. Pirates lost six of last seven home games; over is 9-6 in Pittsburgh’s last 15 home games.

Mets @ Marlins
Syndergaard is 3-2, 2.15 in his last six starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Mets won his last four road starts.
Koehler is 0-4, 5.52 in his last six starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Miami is 7-7 in his home starts.

Mets are 3-5 in last eight games; seven of Mets’ last eight games went over total. Miami lost three of last five games; under is 12-5 in their last 17 home games.

Phillies @ Braves
Eickhoff is 2-1, 3.86 in his last four starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight road starts. Phillies are 6-2 in his last eight road starts.
Teheran is 3-1, 2.87 in his last five starts; seven of his last eight starts went over. Braves are 2-12 in his home starts.

Phillies lost six of last seven road games; they’re 11-14 in road series openers. Last seven Philly games went over total. Atlanta won seven of last eight games, is 8-16 in home series openers. over is 10-2-1 in last 13 Brave games.

Reds @ Cardinals
Stephenson is 0-2, 7.41 in his last four starts; his last three went over.
Wainwright is 3-1, 5.52 in his last five starts; over is 9-3 in his last 12. Cardinals are 10-5 in his home starts.

Reds lost eight of last 12 games; under is 9-4 in last 13 Cincinnati road games. St Louis lost four of last five games; five of last six Cardinal home games stayed under the total.

Dodgers @ Padres
DeLeon is 2-0, 7.36 in his three MLB starts (over 3-0). Dodgers scored 24 runs in the three games.
Clemens is 1-0, 1.69 in his last two starts; his last three stayed under. Padres are 4-3 in his home starts.

Dodgers won eight of last ten games, are 7-16 in road series openers. Under is 9-4 in Dodgers’ last 13 road games. San Diego is 7-10 in last 17 home games, 15-10 in home series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Rockies @ Giants
Marquez allowed one run in five IP (82 PT) in his first MLB start.
Moore is 2-2, 9.19 in his last four starts (under 6-4). Giants split his four home starts.

Rockies lost last seven road games, are 4-14 in last 18 road series openers. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 road games. San Francisco is 5-9 in last 14 games, 3-6 in last nine home series openers. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

American League

Red Sox @ New York
Price is 8-0, 2.86 in his last nine starts; Boston won his last five road starts. Over is 9-1-1 in his last 11 starts.
Cessa is 0-3, 4.86 in his last three starts (over 4-3).

Red Sox won their last 11 games, are 18-8 in road series openers. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. New York lost nine of last 12 games, is 9-1 in last 10 home series openers. Four of last five NY home games stayed under.

Orioles @ Blue Jays
Gausman is 5-1, 2.54 in his last seven starts; five of his last six stayed under. Orioles are 3-10 in his last 13 road starts.
Sanchez is 2-0, 4.81 in his last six starts; under is 10-3-1 in his last 14. Toronto is 7-3 in his last ten home starts.

Orioles won their last three games, are 12-13 in road series openers. Last nine Baltimore games stayed under the total. Toronto won five of last seven games, is 9-3 in last 12 home series openers. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

Indians @ Tigers
Clevinger is 1-0, 2.77 in his last three starts; his last five stayed under. Indians lost his last three road starts.
Verlander is 3-1, 2.37 in his last seven starts; under is 14-2 in his last 16. Tigers are 8-4 in his last 12 home starts.

Indians won seven of last ten games; under is 6-3-1 in last ten Cleveland road games. Detroit lost its last three games; five of Tigers’ last six games went over the total.

Twins @ Royals
Berrios is 0-4, 8.24 in his last five starts; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Twins are 2-3 in his road starts.
Kennedy is 2-1, 3.52 in his last four starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Royals are 7-5 in his home starts.

Minnesota lost eight of last nine games, is 8-16 in road series openers. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Royals won last three home games, are 2-6 in last eight home series openers. Over is 11-2-1 in their last 14 home games.

Rays @ White Sox
Cobb is 2-1, 6.63 in four starts this year (over 3-0-1).
Sale is 1-3, 3.72 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over. Chicago lost four of his last five home starts.

Rays lost seven of last eight games; under is 7-1-2 in their last ten road games. Chicago won their last three games; six of White Sox’ last eight games went over.

Mariners @ Astros
Hernandez is 2-1, 4.70 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight road starts. Seattle is 7-4 in his road starts.
Fiers is 1-1, 1.42 in his last two starts; four of his last five stayed under the total. Houston is 10-5 in his home starts.

Mariners won nine of last ten road games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Houston lost seven of last nine home games; under is 10-4 in Astros’ last 14 home games.

A’s @ Angels
Mengden is 1-4, 6.00 in his last six starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten. A’s are 2-3 in his road starts.
Nolasco is 2-0, 0.00 (13 IP) in his last two starts; under is 8-0-1 in his last nine. Angels are 2-4 in his home starts.

Oakland lost six of last seven games; seven of A’s last eight games stayed under. Angels won five of last six games; under is 10-2-1 in their last thirteen games.

Interleague

Brewers @ Rangers
Garza is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Milwaukee is 2-8 in his road starts.
Perez is 2-0, 2.84 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine home starts. Texas won 11 of his last 12 home starts.

Brewers won five of last six road games; four of last six Milwaukee games stayed under. Texas is 10-5 in its last 15 home games; seven of Rangers’ last eight games stayed under the total.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

Az-Wash– Koch 0-0; Scherzer 22-10
Chi-Pitt– Lackey 16-12; Vogelsong 4-8
NY-Mia– Syndergaard 18-11; Koehler 12-19
Phil-Atl– Eickhoff 15-16; Teheran 8-20
Cin-StL– Stephenson 3-3; Wainwright 20-11
LA-SD– DeLeon 2-1; Clemens 5-5/1-1
Col-SF– Marquez 1-0; Moore 5-5/9-12
Bos-NY– Price 20-13; Cessa 4-3
Balt-Tor– Gausman 13-15; Sanchez 16-12
Cle-Det– Clevinger 4-5; Verlander 19-13
Min-KC– Berrios 2-10; Kennedy 15-16
TB-Chi– Cobb 2-2; Sale 17-13
Sea-Hst– Hernandez 15-8; Fiers 17-12
A’s-LAA– Mengden 3-10; Nolasco 3-7/9-12
Mil-Tex– Nelson 12-19; Griffin 15-7

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning

Az-Wash– Koch 0-0; Scherzer 9-32
Chi-Pitt– Lackey 9-28; Vogelsong 6-12
NY-Mia– Syndergaard 6-29; Koehler 9-31
Phil-Atl– Eickhoff 11-31; Teheran 7-28
Cin-StL– Stephenson 3-6; Wainwright 12-31
LA-SD– DeLeon 1-3; Clemens 3-12
Col-SF– Marquez 0-1; Moore 7-31
Bos-NY– Price 10-33; Cessa 5-7
Balt-Tor– Gausman 8-28; Sanchez 6-28
Cle-Det– Clevinger 3-9; Verlander 10-32
Min-KC– Berrios 4-12; Kennedy 10-31
TB-Chi– Cobb 4-4; Sale 10-30
Sea-Hst– Hernandez 3-23; Fiers 7-29
A’s-LAA– Mengden 4-13; Nolasco 11-31
Mil-Tex– Nelson 11-31; Griffin 5-22

Umpires

Chi-Pitt– Under is 6-3 in last nine Wolcott games.
Az-Wash– Under is 3-0-1 in last four Hamari games.
NY-Mia– Five of last seven Carapazza games stayed under.
Cin-StL– Under is 3-1-1 in last five Knight games.
Cle-Det– Four of last five Bellino games stayed under.
Sea-Hst– Five of last six Cooper games stayed under.
TB-Chi– Home side won six of last seven Estabrook games.
A’s-LA– Seven of last nine Blakney games stayed under.
Mil-Tex– Six of last seven Hudson games went over total.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 27, 2016 7:58 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Tuesday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Red Sox (11-0 last 11)

It’s been awhile since Boston has lost, coming off three consecutive sweeps over New York, Baltimore, and Tampa Bay. The Red Sox won a pair of one-run contests at Tropicana Field this past weekend to keep their winning streak alive, while allowing two runs or less in five of the previous seven victories. Boston is still looking to seize home-field advantage in the American League, holding a half-game lead over Texas and one-game advantage over Cleveland heading into tonight’s action. The Sox travel to the Bronx to face the Yankees, as Boston owns a 7-3 record at Yankee Stadium this season.

Coldest team: Rockies (1-6 last seven)

Colorado has stumbled down the stretch, while getting swept this past weekend at Los Angeles. The Rockies allowed 30 runs in the four losses, as Colorado has dropped seven straight games away from Coors Field. Colorado has lost four of seven matchups at San Francisco this season, while splitting the past six meetings with the Giants since July. The Rockies are riding an 0-6 skid in their previous six road series openers as rookie German Marquez makes his second career start, coming off a victory over the Cardinals in his previous outing.

Hottest pitcher: David Price, Red Sox (17-8, 3.91 ERA)

It’s hard to find a pitcher in the game that is performing better than Price, as the Sox have won nine consecutive starts made by the former Cy Young winner. Price’s worst outing in this stretch came against the Yankees 10 days ago at Fenway Park, allowing five earned runs in six innings, but Boston escaped with a 6-5 victory. Boston is riding a five-game winning streak in Price’s previous five starts away from Fenway Park, but the southpaw has lost his two outings at Yankee Stadium this season.

Coldest pitcher: Chris Sale, White Sox (16-9, 3.19 ERA)

The second half of the season has been a nightmare for Sale, winning two decisions in his previous 12 starts since the All-Star break. Sale was knocked around by the Phillies in his last outing, giving up six earned runs in four innings of an 8-3 defeat as a -155 road favorite. The Chicago southpaw hasn’t fared well at home of late as the White Sox are 1-4 in his past five outings at U.S. Cellular Field, in spite of tossing at least eight innings in his previous four home starts. The only good news for Sale is he shut out the Rays the last time he faced them in mid-April, scattering two hits and striking out nine.

Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (9-0 last nine)

After getting swept at home by the Red Sox, the Baltimore pitching staff stepped up against Arizona by allowing a total of four runs in a three-game sweep this past weekend. On the flip side, the Orioles’ lineup hasn’t been productive of late by scoring three runs or fewer in eight of the past nine games, resulting in nine consecutive UNDERS. The last four matchups between the Orioles and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total, while four of the past six road games for Baltimore have finished UNDER the total.

Biggest OVER run: Phillies (6-0 last six)

To say Philadelphia is playing out the string is an understatement, as the Phillies are coming off an embarrassing 17-0 drubbing at the hands of the Mets on Sunday. Philadelphia dropped three of four at New York this past weekend, while the Phillies’ staff allowed 44 runs in the four games. Excusing the 17-run loss on Sunday, the Phillies’ offense has been somewhat productive down the stretch, scoring at least five runs in each of the previous five games prior to Sunday. Jerad Eickhoff hits the mound for Philadelphia tonight at Atlanta, as the Phillies’ right-hander has given up only two earned runs to the Braves in his last three starts since late May.

Matchup to watch: Orioles vs. Blue Jays

The two teams in the AL Wild Card race hook up for a crucial three-game series at Rogers Center. There is no shot at a division title for either of those two squads with Boston wrapping up the AL East championship, so the one-game Wild Card is the only route to the playoffs.

Toronto owns a one-game edge over Baltimore heading into Tuesday’s action, as the Blue Jays hope to secure home-field advantage in the AL Wild Card game next week. The Jays couldn’t pull off the sweep of the Yankees, losing to New York last night, 7-5, but Toronto has won five of its past seven games after dropping the final two contests to the Angels nine days ago. Aaron Sanchez has hit a bump in the road of late for Toronto, as the Jays are 0-3 in his past three starts, in spite of one-run losses to the Mariners and Yankees in this stretch.

Kevin Gausman counters for Baltimore, as the Orioles are fresh off a three-game home sweep of the Diamondbacks. Gausman was knocked around in his past outing against the Red Sox, giving up 10 hits and five earned runs in 6.1 innings of a 5-2 home defeat. The Orioles haven’t had much luck when Gausman pitches away from Camden Yards, compiling a 5-11 record this season on the road, including an 0-2 mark at Rogers Center.

Betcha didn’t know: The Cubs reached the 100-win plateau in last night’s blowout of the Pirates, as John Lackey heads to the mound tonight for Chicago. Lackey has been fortunate recently as seven of his past eight starts have come at Wrigley Field. The Cubs own a 1-4 record in Lackey’s previous five road starts since late June, but the lone victory came at PNC Park against the Pirates in a 6-5 win on July 10.

Biggest public favorite: Cardinals (-230) vs. Reds

Biggest public underdog: Pirates (+145) vs. Cubs

Biggest line move: Phillies (+135 to +125) at Braves

 
Posted : September 27, 2016 3:31 pm
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