National League
Nationals @ Phillies
Roark is 4-1, 3.03 in his last six starts; four of his last five went over. Washington won seven of his last eight road starts.
Thompson is 1-3, 9.78 in four MLB starts (over 3-0-1).
Nationals lost six of last eight games, are 12-9 in road series openers. Over is 8-4 in Washington’s last 12 road games. Philly is 4-7 in last 11 games, 6-14 in home series openers. Under is 3-0-1 in Phils’ last five home games.
Marlins @ Mets
Fernandez 1-3, 4.50 in his last five starts; Miami lost four of his last five road starts. Over is 4-2 in his last six road starts.
Montero is making his first ’16 start; he is 1-4, 4.45 in 17 MLB games (9 starts, 8 of which were in 2014). He is 4-6, 7.20 in 16 AAA starts this year.
Marlins lost four of last six games, are 5-1 in last six road series openers. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. New York won four of last five home games; over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Mets are 1-5 in their last six home series openers.
Cardinals @ Brewers
Martinez is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over. St Louis is 7-3 in his road starts.
Davies is 1-2, 6.55 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Milwaukee is 7-3 in his last ten home starts.
Cardinals are 3-5 in last eight games, 9-11 in road series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Milwaukee lost its last four games, is 10-12 in home series openers. Under is 5-2 in Brewers’ last seven games.
Pirates @ Cubs
Brault is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts this year (under 2-0).
Arrieta is 4-0, 1.98 in his last four starts; his last three went over. Cubs lost five of their last seven home starts.
Pirates won their last eight road games; they’re 14-8 in road series openers. Under is 7-2 in Pittsburgh’s last nine games. Chicago is 16-3 in last 19 home games, 19-3 in home series openers. Over is 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Dodgers @ Rockies
Maeda is 5-0, 3.74 in his last six starts; six of his last seven went over. Dodgers are 8-3 in his road starts.
Gray is 0-2, 10.50 in his last four starts (over 4-0). Colorado is 6-4 in his home starts.
Dodgers won six of last eight games, are 7-13 in road series openers. Four of last five LA games stayed under the total. Colorado won four of its last five home games; they’re 11-10 in home series openers. Over is 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
American League
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Estrada is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over. Toronto won six of his last seven road starts.
Miley is 1-2, 9.00 in five starts for the Orioles; his last three went over the total.
Toronto won its last three games, scoring 32 runs; they’re 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Over is 7-4 in Jays’ last 11 games. Orioles lost three of last four games; they’re 5-1 in last six home series openers. Last three games at Camden Yards stayed under.
Rays @ Red Sox
Andriese is 0-4, 6.07 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over. Rays lost three of his last four road starts.
Porcello is 3-1, 2.43 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Boston is 13-0 when Porcello starts at home.
Tampa Bay is 2-5 in last seven road games, 2-11 in last 13 road series openers. Over is 7-1-1 in Rays’ last nine road games. Boston lost four of last five games, is 7-2 in last nine home series openers. Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Fenway Park.
Twins @ Indians
Santiago is 0-4, 11.37 in four starts for the Twins (over 4-0).
Bauer is 1-1, 4.79 in his last three starts; his last four starts stayed under. Cleveland is 6-2 in his last eight home starts.
Twins lost their last 10 games; they’re 8-13 in road series openers. Over is 7-1 in Minnesota’s last eight games. Cleveland lost five of last six games; they’re 14-6 in home series openers. Under is 5-2-1 in Tribe’s last eight games.
White Sox @ Tigers
Shields is 0-4, 13.09 in his last five starts (over 9-5-1). White Sox are 1-4 in his road starts.
Boyd is 5-0, 2.97 in his last seven starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Detroit won his last five home starts.
White Sox won six of last eight games, are 3-11 in last 14 road series openers. Four of last five Chicago road games went over. Detroit is 3-8 in last 11 home games, 8-1 in last nine home series openers. Under is 9-2 in Tigers’ last 11 home games.
Mariners @ Rangers
Iwakuma is 3-3, 3.86 in his last six starts; four of his last five stayed under. Seattle is 8-6 in his road starts.
Darvish is 2-0, 3.71 in his last four starts (under 6-4-1). Texas is 4-2 in his home starts.
Mariners lost four of last five road games, are 4-9 in last 13 road series openers. Over is 10-6 in their last 16 road games. Texas won six of last seven home games, is 14-6 in home series openers. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Ranger games.
A’s @ Astros
Manaea is 2-2, 3.96 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over. Oakland is 1-5 in his road starts.
Musgrove is 1-2, 6.17 in four MLB starts (under 2-1-1).
A’s won four of last five games, are 1-5 in last six road series openers. Under is 8-1 in last nine Oakland road games. Houston won seven of last nine games, is 10-4 in last 14 home series openers; over is 4-0-1 in last five games at Minute Maid Park.
New York @ Royals
Pineda is 1-1, 5.08 in his last five starts (over 4-1). New York is 4-7 in his road starts.
Gee is 1-5, 5.63 in his last seven starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five. Royals are 2-4 in his home starts.
New York won four of last five games, is 10-11 in road series openers. Under is 6-1 in last seven Bronx road games. Royals are 12-2 in last 14 games, 14-5 in home series openers. Under is 6-2-2 in last ten games at Kauffman Stadium.
Interleague
Reds @ Angels
Straily is 7-0, 1.98 in his last eight starts; four of his last five went over. Reds won four of his last five road starts.
Shoemaker is 2-0, 1.39 in his last two starts; four of his last six starts went over. Angels are 5-2 in his last seven home starts.
Cincinnati lost five of last seven games; they’re 7-14 in road series openers. Five of Reds’ last six road games went over. Angels won four of last five games, are 9-11 in home series openers. Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.
Teams’ record when this pitcher starts
Wsh-Phil– Roark 16-10; Thompson 1-3
Mia-NY– Fernandez 15-9; Montero 0-0
StL-Mil– Martinez 12-12; Davies 12-11
Pitt-Chi– Brault 1-1; Arrieta 17-8 (4-0 last 4)
LA-Colo– Maeda 17-9 (6-0 last 6); Gray 10-13
Tor-Balt– Estrada 12-10; Miley 2-3/10-9
TB-Bos– Andriese 6-7; Porcello 19-7
Min-Clev– Santiago 0-4/16-6; Bauer 11-10
Chi-Det– Shields 5-10/2-9; Boyd 8-5 (5-0 last 5)
Sea-Tex– Iwakuma 15-11; Darvish 6-5
A’s-Hst– Manaea 9-10; Musgrove 1-3
NY-KC– Pineda 12-13; Gee 3-8
Cin-LAA– Straily 15-9 (8-0 last 8 ); Shoemaker 9-16
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning
Wsh-Phil– Roark 5-26; Thompson 2-4
Mia-NY– Fernandez 6-24; Montero 0-0
StL-Mil– Martinez 3-24; Davies 7-23
Pitt-Chi– Brault 1-2; Arrieta 3-25
LA-Colo– Maeda 5-26; Gray 8-23
Tor-Balt– Estrada 9-22; Miley 9-24
TB-Bos– Andriese 4-13; Porcello 7-26
Min-Clev– Santiago 12-26; Bauer 6-21
Chi-Det– Shields 10-26; Boyd 2-13
Sea-Tex– Iwakuma 5-26; Darvish 4-11
A’s-Hst– Manaea 1-19; Musgrove 2-4
NY-KC– Pineda 8-25; Gee 7-11
Cin-LAA– Straily 5-24; Shoemaker 6-25
Armadillosports.com
Monday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Royals (12-2 past 14, 8-1 past nine at home)
The Royals return home to host the Yankees at Kauffman Stadium Monday night. Kansas City has won its past six games at home, and eight of the past nine. It has been like a tale of two seasons for the Royals, as they have rebounded from an ugly middle of the season to get themselves back into playoff contention. The last time they faced the Yankees things weren't going so well. Kansas City dropped three of four in the Bronx May 9-12. New York has been hot lately, especially homer happy backstop Gary Sanchez. The Yankees are 4-1 in their past five against right-handed pitching, while the Royals are 14-3 in their past 17 vs. RHP. However, the Royals are also just 1-6 in their past seven starts by Dillon Gee.
Coldest team: Twins (0-10 past 10, 0-7 past seven on road)
The Twins started to show some signs of life near the end of July and early August, going 9-3 in a 12-game stretch from July 28 to Aug. 8, which also included a 3-1 series win at Progressive Field from Aug. 1-4. They return to the scene of the crime trying to snap their double-digit loss streak. In their three weeks in Cleveland earlier this month, Minnesota posted 10 or more runs in each of the first three games of the series while the 'over' cashed in each of the four games. The Indians might be on their way to winning the American League Central Division, but it's no thanks to the Twins. Minnesota is 8-5 against Cleveland this season, including 5-2 at Progressive Field.
Hottest pitcher: Dan Straily, Reds (10-6, 3.57 ERA)
There haven't been a lot of bright spots in Cincinnati this season, but how many people could have predicted double-digit wins from Straily after he was claimed off waivers from the San Diego Padres back on April Fool's Day? He is showing no signs of slowing down, going 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his past three outings, striking out 18 batters while walking just two in the past 17 1/3 innings. The Reds are even hotter with Straily on the hill, winning each of his past eight starts, and four of his past five on the road.
Coldest pitcher: Hector Santiago, Twins (10-8, 5.16 ERA)
The Twins acquired the left-handed Santiago from the Angels looking to bolster their rotation. He had a couple of decent outings, but lately he has gone off the rails. He is 0-3 with a 12.21 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over his past three outings, striking out just eight batters in the 14-inning span. The Twins have dropped each of his past four outings on the road, and they're 0-7 in their past seven road games, 0-7 in their past seven road games against a team with a winning overall record, and 0-6 in their past six against a right-handed starting pitcher.
Biggest UNDER run: Marlins (7-1 past eight)
The Marlins lost All-Star OF Giancarlo Stanton to a season-ending injury earlier in the month, and to no one's surprise the Miami offense has struggled without their big bat in the middle of the lineup. The Marlins have posted three or fewer runs in seven of the past eight games, while they have allowed three or fewer runs in six of the past eight otuings. On Monday, it's #JoseDay, as Jose Fernandez toes the slab for the Fish. Miami is 6-0 in Fernandez's past six outings against the Mets. The under is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in this series, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in Queens.
Biggest OVER run: Reds (7-3 past 10, 16-5 past 21)
The 'over' has been a frequent play for Cincinnati lately, especially at home. The over is 9-4-1 in the past 14 games at home for the Reds, while the Angels have seen the 'under' hit in each of their past four, while the under is 6-1-1 in their past eight vs. RHP. However, in interleague play the 'over' is 10-4-1 in the past 15 interleague games, and the over is 13-3 in their past 16 home games against a team with a losing overall record.
Matchup to watch: Rockies vs. Dodgers
The Dodgers hit the road for Coors Field looking to stay hot behind Kenta Maeda. L.A. has won each of his past six starts while going 5-1 in his past six assignments against divisional foes. The Dodgers are also 5-2 in their past seven tries against a right-handed starter on the road, while winning each of their past four overall vs. RHP. For Colorado, the Rockies are 6-2 in their past eight against a team with an overall winning record, and 10-4 in their past 14 home games against a right-handed starting pitcher. The Rockies have also managed to win four of the past five home starts by Jon Gray against a team with an overall winning mark.
Betcha didn’t know: As mentioned, the Twins have a 10-game losing streak. It is their pitching which has really let them down, as Minnesota's pitching staff has yielded three or more runs in at least one inning in each of the past six games. All those crooked numbers certainly don't help turns things around. That will certainly be put to the test, as Cleveland has scored one or fewer runs in six of their past seven games.
Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-255) vs. Pirates
Biggest public underdog: Royals (+105) vs. Yankees
Biggest line move: Rangers (-150 to -170) vs. Mariners
MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Toronto at Baltimore
Toronto and Baltimore play a crucial three-game series at Camden Yards. With fewer than 40 games remaining in the 2016 regular season, American League East leading Blue Jays have an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the rest of the division while handing Orioles a blow to their post season aspirations.
Jays, Marco Estrada (7-6, 3.47 ERA) opens the series carrying a 5-1 Team Start Record vs Orioles. Lefty, J.A. Happ (17-4, 3.19 ERA) gets the call in game-two which is another obsticle for Orioles as Jays have won five consecutive in an opposing park with Happ and sport a 2-0 record vs Baltimore with the hurler. In the finale, it's Aaron Sanchez (12-2, 2.99 ERA) making his return after being optioned to the Minors in an effort to preserve innings. Jays have an 8-4 stretch away with Sanchez and are 2-1 vs Orioles this season handing the ball to the righthander.
As for Baltimore, the club opens the set with Wade Miley (8-10, 5.51 ERA). The newly acquired starter has struggle at Camden Yards going 0-1 in two starts giving up a whopping 10 runs over 6 2/3 innings. In his career, Miley has a 2-3 TSR vs Toronto. Ubaldo Jimenez (5-11, 6.62) toes the rubber in game-two. The Orioles have lost each of his last four starts but the righthander heads to the hill a with a perfect 4-0 team starts record last four vs Jays in Baltimore. Yovani Gallardo (4-6, 5.69 ERA) handles the finale. Orioles are 5-2 in front of the home audience with Gallardo including a win vs Jays back in June.
MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
By Monty Andrews
Covers.com
Advantage: Baltimore - Or Is It?
The Baltimore Orioles know they’ll need to outperform the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox the rest of the way to leapfrog both of them in the AL East standings - and that starts with a three-game series against the visiting Jays beginning Monday night. Toronto has a 7-6 edge in the season series to date, but Baltimore has the upper hand at home, winning four of six games at Camden Yards. The problem: All three Orioles starters - Wade Miley, Ubaldo Jimenez and Yovani Gallardo - have an ERA north of 5.50.
Home Field Put to the Test
The Kansas City Royals are in tough to defend their World Series title this season, but that’s in no way due to struggles at home. They’ll take a 40-21 record at Kauffman Stadium into an early-week series with the visiting New York Yankees. New York is also fighting for its playoff life, but has to like its chances this week; the Yankees are an impressive 19-11 against AL Central Division foes, and claimed three of four when the teams previously met at Yankee Stadium back in early May.
Clash of the Non-Titans
Two of the worst interleague teams in baseball do battle in Anaheim this week as the Los Angeles Angels entertain the Cincinnati Reds. Los Angeles has just six victories in 17 interleague games so far this season, including losses in three of their last four. The Reds are even worse off, sporting a dismal 5-12 interleague record. Cincinnati is one of the top Over plays in baseball, entering the week at 71-48-10 O/U. The Angels are 31-29-2 O/U at home, but have played to the Under in four of their last five at Anaheim.
Injury Updates
A lost season continues for Twins outfielder Danny Santana, who has been placed on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained AC joint in his left shoulder after running into teammate Robbie Grossman. The Twins are 10-20 SU and 19-9-2 O/U with Santana on the sidelines this season.
Things have gone exactly as you’d figure they would after the Colorado Rockies lost sensational rookie shortstop Trevor Story to a season-ending thumb injury. The Rockies improved to 12-20 without Story in the lineup Sunday with a 5-3 win over Washington, and are down $584 in his absence.
Batting Notes
The Blue Jays sure do like seeing Josh Donaldson go deep - and he did so three times Sunday, helping Toronto rally for a 9-6 triumph over the visiting Minnesota Twins. The Blue Jays are a sizzling 9-1 SU in the last 10 games in which Donaldson has homered.
The current members of the Seattle Mariners have never taken Texas Rangers ace Yu Darvish deep in 96 at-bats, but third baseman Kyle Seager hasn’t had much trouble with him. Seeger is 9-for-25 all-time against Darvish, with four doubles and eight runs batted in.
Pitching Notes
Can Kenta Maeda tame the powerhouse Colorado Rockies lineup at Coors Field? Maeda has held current members of the Rockies’ roster to a combined .177/.227/.258 slash line over 62 at-bats; Nolan Arenado is just 2-for-9 against him, while Carlos Gomez is 1-for-6 with four strikeouts.
If the Royals make a run at the AL Central title, Ian Kennedy will probably be pivotal to their success. Kennedy has been red-hot of late, allowing just five earned runs over his previous six starts; the Royals are 4-2 SU and 1-4-1 O/U in those outings.
Totals Trend
It’s typical to think of Oakland as a strong Under team, and it hasn’t disappointed. Sunday’s 7-4 win over visiting St. Louis was just the second Over play for the A’s in their previous 12 games.