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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 28th, 2016

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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National League

Rockies @ Nationals
Bettis is 0-1, 7.62 in his last three starts; over is 11-8-1 in his last 20. Colorado won four of his last six road starts.
Giolito is 0-0, 6.55 in three starts this year (over 2-1).
Rockies lost seven of last eight road games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Washington lost five of last seven games; seven of Nationals’ last eight home games went over the total.

Padres @ Marlins
Perdomo is 1-3, 4.81 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts went over. San Diego is 5-4 in his road starts.
Nicolino is 0-2, 8.38 in his last four starts, last of which was July 6. Five of his last six starts went over the total. Miami is 1-4 in his home starts, losing last four.
Padres are 6-18 in last 24 road games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Miami is 3-6 in its last nine home games; six of last seven Marlin games stayed under the total.

Phillies @ Mets
Velasquez is 0-3, 10.47 in his last three starts; Phillies are 5-4 in his road starts. Over is 10-6-1 in his last 17 starts.
Gsellman is making first MLB start; he is 1-3, 5.73 in nine AAA starts this year, but pitched 3.2 scoreless innings in relief, in his first big league appearance.
Phillies are 7-12 in last 19 road games; over is 8-1-1 in Philly’s last ten road games. New York won six of its last seven games; over is 11-1 in Mets’ last twelve games.

Pirates @ Brewers
Nova is 3-0, 3.20 in four starts for Pittsburgh (under 3-1). Pirates scored 23 runs in winning all four of those games.
Anderson is 3-0, 3.33 in his last six starts (under 5-1); Milwaukee won his last four home starts.
Pirates won their last seven road games; six of last eight Pittsburgh games stayed under. Milwaukee lost its last three games; four of its last six games stayed under.

Reds @ Diamondbacks
Bailey is 1-2, 7.16 in his last four starts (under 3-2).
Bradley is 0-2, 9.78 in his last five starts; Arizona is 3-6 in his home starts. Four of last five Bradley starts went over the total.
Cincinnati lost four of last six games; over is 9-4 in Reds’ last 13 road games. Arizona is 6-4 in its last ten home games; 11 of last 14 Arizona games went over the total.

Cubs @ Dodgers
Lester is 4-0, 1.71 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under. Cubs are 7-4 in his road starts.
Stewart is 0-2, 14.00 in two starts this year (over 1-1).
Cubs won eight of last 11 road games; over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Dodgers won five of last seven games; over is 9-4-2 in his last 15 games.

Braves @ Giants
Blair is 0-5, 8.35 in 11 starts this year, last of which was June 24; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Atlanta lost three of his four road starts.
Bumgarner is 2-2, 3.60 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over. Giants are 9-5 in his home starts.
Atlanta lost five of last eight road games, is 0-5 in game following last five wins; over is 7-3 in Braves’ last ten road games. Giants are 5-10 in last 15 games; five of last six Giant games stayed under.

American League

Orioles @ New York
Gausman is 2-0, 3.55 in his last two starts; under is 8-4 in his last 12. Orioles lost nine of his last ten road starts.
Sabathia is 2-2, 5.11 in his last four starts; over is 7-4-1 in his last 12. New York lost five of his last six home starts.
Orioles are 4-8 in last 12 games; five of their last six road games went over. New York won six of last eight games; over is 7-1 in last eight games in the Bronx.

Twins @ Blue Jays
Santana is 3-1, 2.39 in his last four starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Minnesota won three of his last four road starts.
Dickey is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts (under 3-1); Toronto is 4-2 in his last six home starts.
Minnesota lost its last nine games; over is 21-4-2 in their last 27 games. Toronto won five of last seven home games; three of their last four home games went over.

Royals @ Red Sox
Ventura is 3-0, 1.73 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Royals won his last three road starts.
Rodriguez is 1-1, 2.67 in his last five starts; his last seven starts stayed under. Boston is 0-6 in his home starts.
Royals won 10 of last 12 games; under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 road games. Boston is 11-4 in its last 15 games; over is 3-1-1 in their last four home games.

Angels @ Tigers
Skaggs is 0-3, 10.95 in his last three starts (over 3-3).
Sanchez is 2-1, 3.66 in his last five starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine.
Angels won three of last four games; six of their last seven road games stayed under. Detroit won five of its last six games; under is 8-2 in its last ten home games.

Indians @ Rangers
Salazar is 0-2, 15.55 in his last four starts; his last six starts went over. Indians are 4-5 in his road starts.
Holland is 0-2, 6.63 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Texas won five of his six home starts.
Indians are 4-10 in last 14 road games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games. Texas lost four of last seven games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

Rays @ Astros
Archer is 2-4, 3.26 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Rays are 4-9 in his road starts.
Fister is 2-1, 3.00 in his last five starts; under is 10-7 in his last 17. Houston lost four of his last five home starts.
Rays are 8-5 in last 13 games; over is 6-1-1 in Tampa Bay’s last eight road games. Houston won seven of last eight games; under is 7-3-2 in their last 12 home games.

Mariners @ White Sox
Walker is 0-2, 9.88 in his last three starts; four of his last five stayed under. Seattle lost his last six road starts.
Rodon is 2-0, 1.82 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Chicago won four of his last five home starts.
Seattle lost five of last seven games; seven of Mariners’ last ten games went over the total. White Sox won five of last seven games; five of last eight Chicago games stayed under.

Interleague

A’s @ Cardinals
Triggs is 0-1, 2.41 in four starts (under 3-1) this year.
Garcia is 3-1, 4.68 in his last four starts; over is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Cardinals are 5-8 in his home starts.
Oakland is 3-11 in last 13 road games; under is 10-1 in A’s last 11 games. St Louis is 9-3 in last 12 games; 0ver is 8-4-1 in their last 13 home games.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

Col-Wsh; Bettis 16-10; Giolito 1-2
SD-Mia: Perdomo 8-6; Nicolino 5-7
Phil-NY: Velasquez 10-12; Gsellman 0-0
Pitt-Mil: Nova 4-0/7-8; Anderson 10-14
Cin-Az– Bailey 3-2; Bradley 8-11
Chi-LA: Lester 19-6 (7-0 last 7); Stewart 0-2
Atl-SF: Blair 2-9; Bumgarner 15-12
Blt-NY: Gausman 10-13; Sabathia 12-11
Min-Tor: Gibson 9-9; Dickey 10-16
KC-Bos: Ventura 14-11 (5-0 last 5); Rodriguez 5-8
LA-Det: Skaggs 1-5; Sanchez 5-15
Cle-Tex: Salazar 14-8; Holland 8-7
TB-Hst: Archer 8-19; Fister 16-9
Sea-Chi: Walker 7-11; Rodon 8-13
A’s-StL: Triggs 0-4; Garcia 13-12

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning

Col-Wsh; Bettis 11-26; Giolito 0-3
SD-Mia: Perdomo 7-14; Nicolino 2-12
Phil-NY: Velasquez 5-22; Gsellman 0-0
Pitt-Mil: Nova 5-19; Anderson 7-23
Cin-Az– Bailey 2-5; Bradley 9-19
Chi-LA: Lester 7-25; Stewart 1-2
Atl-SF: Blair 5-11; Bumgarner 7-27
Blt-NY: Gausman 8-23; Sabathia 5-23
Min-Tor: Gibson 9-18; Dickey 6-26
KC-Bos: Ventura 5-25; Rodriguez 3-13
LA-Det: Skaggs 3-6; Sanchez 7-20
Cle-Tex: Salazar 5-22; Holland 2-15
TB-Hst: Archer 12-27; Fister 3-25
Sea-Chi: Walker 3-18; Rodon 6-21
A’s-StL: Triggs 0-4; Garcia 10-25

Umpires

Col-Wsh; Last three Winters games went over the total.
SD-Mia: Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Gorman games.
Phil-NY: Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Little games.
Pitt-Mil: Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Davidson games.
Cin-Az– Home team won last eight Drake games.
Chi-LA: Four of last five Vanover games went over.
Atl-SF: Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Blaser games.
Blt-NY: Five of last seven Kulpa games stayed under.
Min-Tor: Underdogs won five of last seven Fairchild games.
KC-Bos: Four of last five Johnson games went over total.
LA-Det: Under is 10-2 in last twelve Everitt games.
Cle-Tex: Over is 7-2 in last nine Kellogg games.
TB-Hst: Under is 11-1 in last 12 Danley games.
Sea-Chi: Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Emmel games.
A’s-StL: Last six Segal games went over the total.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 28, 2016 7:59 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Going back to the well is something that those in baseball betting have no problem doing, especially when it continues to offer up winning plays. In this case, the play involves the New York Yankees.

Yankees looking to sweep the series hand the ball to southpaw C.C. Sabathia carrying an 8-10 record, 4.33 ERA to the hill. Orioles send Kevin Gausman to the mound with a 5-10 record on the campaign, 3.92 ERA.

The most compelling numbers in the Yankees’ favor are not the figures compiled by Sabathia but those compiled by Kevin Gausman. Sabathia has had his issues of late in front of the home audience (1-5) but those are minor compared to the struggles Gausman has away from Camden Yards. The Baltimore righthander is 0-9 this season with a 5.32 ERA and 0-16 his last twenty-five in an opposing park with a 5-20 Team Start Record.

The fact Sabathia is a portsider is another obsticle for Baltimore. The Orioles have lost six straight swinging away at a lefthanded starter. Additionally, the Orioles are on a 1-6 skid vs a division opponent.

The numbers above clearly illustrate that New York is the right choice. Current odds have Yankees -$1.10 to -$1.15 home favorites depending on locale.

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays

Minnesota Twins have a slew of negative betting trends to overcome in the finale of this three game set in Toronto. With yesterday's loss the Twins have not only tasted defeat in 9 straight games, the Twinkies have lost 6 consecutive vs Jays north of the border and have lost 6 of 7 on the road when attempting to avoid a three game series sweep. Adding to Twins woes, they're on a 0-5 skid in daylight hours.

 
Posted : August 28, 2016 8:20 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Royals at Red Sox
By Sportsbook.ag

KANSAS CITY ROYALS at BOSTON RED SOX

Sportsbook.ag Line: Red Sox -145, Royals +125, Total: 9 (Over -110)

Friday: Royals 6 Red Sox 3
Saturday: Red Sox 8 Royals 3

The Royals will be looking to continue their push for an AL Wild Card spot when they face the Red Sox on Sunday.

Kansas City looked like it was down for the count before the All-Star Break, but this team has somehow managed to fight its way back into the playoff race.

The Royals still have a ton of work to do, but if they can continue to play the way they have been then they’ll certainly put a ton of pressure on the teams in front of them.

The Red Sox, meanwhile, are also in a race of their own. Boston is currently fighting with both Toronto and Baltimore for the top spot in the AL East, but the teams don’t have too much separation from the other Wild Card hopefuls behind them.

This Sunday night matchup is going to be a big one and it’ll also happen to feature a pair of exciting starters. On the mound for Kansas City will be RHP Yordano Ventura (9-9, 4.27 ERA, 114 K) and he’ll be going up against LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (2-5, 5.11 ERA, 60 K) for Boston.

The Royals are right back in the thick of things and Yordano Ventura is a big reason for that. The righty is starting to perform like an ace for Kansas City, as the team has now won in each of his past five starts.

Ventura has allowed just seven runs in total over those five outings. He will, however, need to improve on his control moving forward.

Ventura has walked at least two batters in four of his past seven games and it’s important that he doesn’t give his opponents any free base runners.

Offensively, it’d be nice for the Royals if OF Lorenzo Cain can figure out a way to hit Rodriguez on Sunday. Although it’s a small sample size, Cain is hitless in six at-bats against the lefty. He is one of Kansas City’s best hitters and it’s crucial that he finds a way to produce in this big Sunday game.

Eduardo Rodriguez has had an up-and-down season in Boston this year, but he has been solid in his past two trips to the mound. On Aug. 11, Rodriguez pitched seven innings of one-run baseball against the Yankees. He followed that up with four innings of shutout ball in Baltimore on Aug. 16.

The length of his last start is a bit concerning, but he should be able to work deeper into this one. He was dealing with some hamstring tightness in that game against the Orioles, but he is feeling better heading into Sunday’s contest.

Run support in this game could come from a number of different players, but two guys worth pointing out are DH David Ortiz and 3B Travis Shaw.

Ortiz is just 2-for-8 against Ventura in his career, but he is still one of the most dangerous hitters in the league and is a threat to do damage every time he steps up to the plate.

Shaw, meanwhile, is 3-for-6 with a homer and four RBI against Ventura in their brief history. It’s possible that he won’t be in the lineup in this game, but his success against Ventura should be enough to earn him a spot.

 
Posted : August 28, 2016 10:53 am
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